Over a dozen people, including an official of Iran’s Armed Forces, have died in accidents related to the massive Iranian pilgrimage to Iraq’s Karbala, encouraged and supported by the government.
Reports in newspapers, websites and in social media indicate that the President Ebrahim Raisi’s administration might be pondering a new round of gasoline price increase, as some say Iran’s daily production has dropped from 107 million liters to 101 million.
The government that controls the distribution of energy and fuel in the country has been offering perhaps the world’s cheapest prices to consumers, with subisdized gasoline going for as little as 22 US cents a gallon.
A similar move to raise prices in November 2019 led to days of nationwide protests and the killing of at least 1.500 protesters.
A hardliner political figure, former lawmaker Hossein-Naghavi Hosseini, said this week that former President Hassan Rouhani should be put on trial for the 2019 nationwide protests.
At the time, the government was criticized by politicians and media for the way it handled both the price rise and the ensuing dangerous unrest that quickly turned into an anti-regime uprising.
In an interview with Didban Iran website on Saturday, September 10, Naghavi Hosseini added that Iran's Supreme Council of National Security was also responsible for the events that followed the price hike.
Naghavi-Hosseini further charged that one of Rouhani's ministers without naming him and said the minister was waiting for a regime change in Iran.
The ex-lawmaker, who is the former spokesman of the parliamentary committee for national security and foreign policy, reiterated that some of Rouhani's ministers were utterly enjoying wat was happening.
Naghavi-Hosseini added that Rouhani should have increased the gasoline price gradually year by year. But he waited for seven years and suddenly tried to make up for his inaction in the seventh year of his presidency.
Vice President Solat Mortazavi on Saturday [September 10] said that President Raisi will under no circumstance allow any increase in the price of gasoline. However, he added that the promise not to raise prices is for up to the end of the current Iranian year on March 20, 2023.
Earlier, Interior Minister Ahmad Vahidi had also denied the rise in the price of gasoline. Vahidi added that "some people spread rumors about an imminent rise in the price of gasoline and the reduction of subsidized gasoline quota, but I deny those rumors."
The denial came while many media reports in Iran said that gas stations sell only 30 liters of gasoline at the subsidized price of 15,000 rials per liter every month and anything beyond that should be bought at 30,000 rials per liter (about $1 or $2.5 per gallon). Meanwhile, many drivers complained on social media that 30 liters of gasoline per month is not enough for them.
An Iran International report in June predicted that Iranians will most likely experience their next shock when the government reduces fuel subsidies and prices rise dramatically, pushing inflation even higher. The report said that the government is once again thinking of raising gasoline prices although officials and members of parliament continue to deny that it will happen this year.
Official estimates in Iran put the total annual subsidy of cheap energy and fuel as high as $60 billion, which is more than the country’s oil export revenues.
Pilgrims have been stranded at dangerously overcrowded border checkpoints and on the roads in the past few days. According to health authorities many of the pilgrims, including very young infants and the elderly, have been heat stricken due to the very hot and humid weather, or fallen ill with symptoms such as dizziness, nausea, and stomach cramps.
On Friday, Iran and Iraq closed all border crossings, suspending the pilgrimage due to “safety concerns”. Hundreds of thousands who already crossed into Iraq have great difficulty finding local transportation and housing. Photos emerged of thousands of Iranians sleeping in the streets. Hundreds of thousands more who were moving toward the border are confused and have to return home.
Iranian media have reported that dozens of pilgrims were killed or injured in road accidents on the way to the border areas in the past few days. Inside Iraq other hazards may also be awaiting pilgrims: The pro-Iranian Iraqi Shi'ite militia group Hashd al-Shaabi said in a statement Saturday that it had foiled a Islamic State terrorist plot against pilgrims in Karbala on Friday.
According to Iranian media at least two million Iranians had already set out on pilgrimage to Karbala by land and air until Saturday for the Arbaeen ceremony that will take place on September 18. Last Wednesday, first Vice President Mohammad Mokhber said the government expected five million pilgrims to participate in this year’s ceremonies at Iraqi Shiite holy sites.
On Thursday Interior Minister Ahmad Vahidi asked Iranians not to leave for Iraq due to the high accumulation of travellers on roads leading to the border checkpoints and Iraqi border authorities’ inability to process such a huge number of pilgrims. The decision to abort the pilgrimage came after weeks of government propaganda and offers of financial assistance to potential pilgrims.
The head of Arbaeen Headquarters, Majid Mir-Ahmadi, said at Mehran border checkpoint in Ilam Province Thursday that Iraqi border crossings were not equipped to serve the huge number of Iranian pilgrims. He advised the elderly, children, and those with medical conditions including respiratory problems not to take the pilgrimage trip.
Mir-Ahmadi said Iraq has not permitted 2,200 buses designated by Iran for transportation of pilgrims inside Iraq to enter the country.
In an interview with the state-run television (IRIB) Thursday, Sohbatollah Rahmani, deputy head ofthe Hajj and Pilgrimage Organization, quoted the head of Arbaeen Headquarters, Majid Mir-Ahmadi, as saying that citizens should try to avoid domestic travel by bus or use their own cars to free as many buses for the transportation of pilgrims as possible.
The Hajj and Pilgrimage Organization is a subset of the Ministry of Culture and Islamic Guidance which is responsible for determining Iran’s pilgrimage policies to Mecca and other holy cities and organizing transportation and other facilities for the pilgrims.
The government is spending hundreds of millions of dollars and huge resources, critics say, to sponsor the Arbaeen pilgrimage to Karbala, the largest annual gathering in the world, to show its Shia ideology is influential both domestically and in the region. The perks offered to Iranians to encourage them to take the pilgrimage include loans, a ration of cheap dollars, and free internet on the road and inside Iraq.
On Saturday the oil ministry announced that it had posted fourteen mobile fuel stations at border checkpoints in southwestern and western provinces to serve public city buses transporting pilgrims.
Iran’s Red Crescent Society announced on Saturday that four Arbaeen pilgrims died in the Iraqi city of Hillah after a van overturned.
Moreover, the head of the society said a passenger bus explosion in Iraq's Babylon province has killed at least 11 and injured 30 others. All the dead were Iranian nationals, Tehran's ambassador confirmed.
An official of the Army’s Foundation for the Preservation and Publication of Sacred Defense Works and Values, Taghi Hosseini, also died along with his wife in another accident near the Mehran border crossing.
On Friday, the Red Crescent Society announced that at least nine Iranians died on their way to the Iraqi city of Karbala for the Shiite religious event. Three more Iranians died earlier in the week in Iraq's Wasit Governorate, which borders the Islamic Republic.
The pilgrimage has turned into an embarrassing debacle due to the government’s mismanagement of the event. Pilgrims have been stranded at dangerously overcrowded border checkpoints and on the roads in the past few days.
A lawmaker said on Saturday that the government's mismanagement is "evident" in the incidents during the Arbaeen ceremony, blaming authorities, the interior ministry in particular, for the mishaps and mayhem.
