Trump asks for military protection amid Iran threat
Former President Donald Trump campaigning on October 9, 2024
Donald Trump's campaign has reportedly requested the use of military aircraft and vehicles to provide security for the former president as he campaigns during the final weeks leading up to the election, according to reports in US media.
Iran is nervous about potential Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities and is now using its controversial atomic program as leverage to send a message - not to the Israelis but rather to the United States, a Middle East security expert says.
Alex Vatanka, founding Director of the Iran Program at the Middle East Institute, appeared on this week's Eye for Iran.
What the Islamic government in Tehran fears most is an attack on its nuclear infrastructure - its main accomplishment during 45 years of rule - Vatanka said.
The Iranian government is likely pressuring the American administration to rein in Israeli actions to prevent any attack on their nuclear sites, following the October 1 Iranian missile barrage, he said.
CNN is reporting that Iran is nervous and has engaged in diplomatic efforts with Mideast countries to try and reduce the magnitude of Israel's response to its ballistic missile attack earlier this month.
On Friday, Iran's president Masoud Pezeshkian met with Russia's Vladmir Putin, who called for a new 'world order' of Russian allies. Last week, Iran met with Saudi's Foreign Minister. Israeli's Channel 12 news reported that the United States and Arab nations were conducting secret backchannel negotiations with Iran aimed at reaching a comprehensive regional ceasefire. The US denies those claims.
CNN cited sources familiar with the matter, alleged that Tehran is anxious about whether the US can convince Israel to reduce the scale of their response.
This week a group of more than three dozen lawmakers in Iran have called for the country to pursue nuclear weapons. The unprecedented openness of Iranian officials and media discussing the possibility of a nuclear bomb—something unthinkable just a few years ago.
This all goes back to Iran's fear and growing uncertainty, Vatanka told theEye for IranPodcast.
"It indicates one important fear that the regime has as Iran is waiting to see what Israel will do in terms of its retaliation," said Vatanka.
"The message is to the United States: If you don't stop Israel, we're going to weaponize. Don't push us. And by pushing us means don't target our nuclear facilities. Remember, this is a nuclear program, it's about a quarter century old. It's about billions of dollars in investment," he added.
The Iranians view Israel as being dependent on the United States, according to Vatanka.
The question now...will Israel heed to calls from the Biden administration, which is urging Israel to take a 'proportionate' response? The US, and Iran's oil-rich Arab neighbors, are also advising Israel not to strike Iran's nuclear and oil facilities.
Just how Israel's government will react - especially in light of reports of tensions between Biden and Netanyahu surface, is yet to be determined. For the first time in two months, Biden and Netanyahu spoke on Wednesday in a phone conversation that focused on Israel’s plans to retaliate against Iran.
"I have no way of knowing what Netanyahu is going to do. They are going for the kill, if you will. They're trying to take out all their big enemies out there, what is Hamas, Hezbollah, and the mothership in Iran. Can Israel do this all on its own, alone?" asked Vatanka.
What capabilities does Hezbollah have left?
Iran's potential fears compounded by the fact that Iran's crown jewel of proxies, Hezbollah, has been significantly weakened by Israel. It's leader Hassan Nasrallah and anyone who tried to replace him were assassinated by Israel, according to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
Last month, a series of pager and walkie-talkie explosions allegedly belonging to Hezbollah operatives set off simultaneously in Lebanon in an unprecedented attack of communications devices.
With Iran losing its biggest deterrence factor, Vatanka, said Iran can no longer hide, after orchestrating a multi-front campaign against Israeli - without sacrificing themselves.
He said Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, on one hand says he doesn't want war with Israel, but also refuses to give up and empowers groups like Hamas and Hezbollah to continue striking Israel, while calling for the destruction of the Jewish State.
"That is when you, as the cliche goes, want to fight Israel to the last Arab," said Vatanka.
But Israel is now poised to take the fight onto Iranian soil, telling the authorities in power that they can no longer conceal themselves behind "disposable" Arab proxies.
The United States announced new sanctions on Iran’s oil and petrochemical sectors on Friday in its first official response to the Islamic Republic's Oct. 1 missile attack on Israel.
The move aims to make it harder for Iran to sell oil, by far the largest source of foreign currency for the country's ailing economy.
The announcement comes "in response to Iran’s October 1 attack on Israel, its second direct attack on Israel this year", the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) said.
“Today’s sanctions target Iranian efforts to channel revenues from its energy industry to finance deadly and disruptive activity - including development of its nuclear program, the proliferation of ballistic missiles and unmanned aerial vehicles, and support to regional terrorist proxies,” US Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen said in a statement on Friday.
The new sanctions target 10 entities and 17 vessels involved in shipping Iran’s sanctioned oil and petrochemical products, the treasury statement said.
The US State Department also sanctioned six entities and six vessels engaged in the transportation and sale of Iranian oil, the statement added.
A series of US-led sanctions on Iranian oil over the past decade have forced Iran’s government to resort to a network of tankers, often referred to as a shadow fleet, to evade restrictions and continue its oil trade.
The US treasury has identified and sanctioned a number of these tankers as well as their operating companies, many of which are registered in the United Arab Emirates.
Iran exported more than $70 billion worth of oil after the 2015 nuclear deal, according to the data released by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). This fell to less than $10 billion in 2020, following a unilateral US withdrawal from the nuclear agreement and Donald Trump’s so-called maximum pressure campaign.
The figure rose again to just above $40 billion in 2023, in large part due to a myriad of smaller Chinese refineries purchasing Iranian oil masked as originating from other countries.
Due to heavily discounted sale prices and substantial expenses involved in using shell companies and the shadow fleet, little in the way of profit materializes in the coffers of Iran’s government.
Iranian authorities have intensified a crackdown on journalists and political activists by forcing them to erase social media posts and coerce them into publishing favorable content, sources told Iran International.
The moves come after a wave of SIM card disconnections and summonses ordered by security agencies followed by interrogations targeted activists and journalists.
According to information received by Iran International, the individuals were coerced by security agents and prosecutors, particularly at Evin Prosecutor's Office, to delete their social media posts and share content they did not agree with.
At least three people, including a journalist and two women’s rights activists whose identities are being protected by Iran International for safety reasons, have faced charges related to their online activities.
These charges include - per official legal language - propaganda against the regime, spreading false information to disturb public opinion, and defaming regime officials with the intent to weaken the Islamic Republic. They have appeared in court and presented a defense.
In similar cases, criminal charges had been filed against several unnamed individuals after their social media activities were monitored, the Mizan News Agency affiliated with Iran’s judiciary reported on Oct. 4.
Citing the Tehran Prosecutor’s Office, Mizan said these individuals were spreading false news and "creating fear to undermine the public's psychological security."
One case involved Iranian journalist Sadaf Fatemi, who on October 9 erased all her posts from X and Instagram, replacing them with an image stating, "Access to the website you are trying to reach is not possible."
Fatemi had shared on September 24 that new restrictions had been imposed on her by security agencies, including the unexplained disconnection of her SIM card.
Mehdi Amirpour, a sports journalist and Fatemi’s husband, condemned the incident as a new method of suppressing journalists. He revealed on his X account that after about a month without a functioning SIM card, Fatemi was "forced to delete all her Twitter and Instagram posts" and replace them with a state-ordered post.
On October 9, Motahareh Goonehi, a student activist was also arrested and transferred to prison for her posts on social media allegedly “regarding Iran’s recent military actions,” according to, the US-based rights group, Human Rights Human Rights Activists News Agency (HRANA) citing Mizan.
Last month, Iran International reported that several journalists and political activists in Iran had experienced similar SIM card disconnections on orders from security agencies.
Tehran-based human rights lawyer Payam Derafshan, speaking to Shargh newspaper also noted that such restrictions had been imposed in similar cases in the past.
The crackdown comes despite criticism from international human rights organizations which continue to condemn Iran for violating freedom of speech and targeting journalists.
This year alone, the Islamic Republic has arbitrarily prosecuted at least 91 journalists, media activists and outlets, as indicated by the latest report from the Defending Free Flow of Information (DeFFI).
The European Union will on Monday sanction a number of Iranian individuals and organizations connected to the Islamic Republic's transfer of missiles to Russia, Reuters reported citing a senior EU official.
The sanctions will be the bloc's first punitive measures over the alleged transfers and will come at a time when Iran and Russia have drawn closer.
Their presidents met on the sidelines of an international conference in Turkmenistan on Friday.
"Our assessments of events taking place in the world are often very close," Russia’s president Vladimir Putin told Iran’s president Masoud Pezeshkian, according to Russian state news agency TASS.
Pezeshkian reciprocated: “Our relations are being strengthened day by day and becoming more robust," according to Iran’s state news agency IRNA.
Iran has been helping Russia’s war effort in Ukraine, providing drones that Kiev says have been used to target urban areas.
Iranian officials including Pezeshkian have denied any delivery of ballistic missiles. But foreign minister Abbas Araghchi told a European Union official that shorter range missiles were sent to Russia, according to the Wall Street Journal’s EU reporter, Laurence Norman.
“Senior EU official says Araghchi acknowledged in NY that Iran had sent missiles to Russia of less than 250km range. Claimed they were not "ballistic" missiles,” Norman posted on X on Friday. He added that EU’s sanction over Iran’s missile supplies to Russia would likely include Iran’s main commercial airline, IranAir.
The EU warned Iran last month that it will face sanctions for its alleged transfer of ballistic missiles to Russia. “We will respond swiftly and in coordination with international partners," EU foreign policy chief Joseph Borrel said at the time.
The measures—expected to be introduced on Monday— will not be the end of such measures, according to Norman citing EU officials. “There are also discussions on sectoral sanctions vs Iran that won’t be decided Monday,” he wrote on X.
Iran conveyed to its Arab and regional neighbors that they would face retaliation if US or Israeli attacks on the Islamic Republic used their territory or air space, the Wall Street Journal reported citing Arab officials.
The warnings could mean any escalation to flaring Iranian-Israeli tensions could draw in other countries in the critical oil-exporting region.
"Iran has warned it would respond with devastating hits on Israel’s civilian infrastructure, and would retaliate against any Arab state that facilitated the attack," the daily reported.
Some US allies in the region have conveyed to Washington that they disapprove of Israeli or American use of their airspace for any attack on Iran or having their land used as a launchpad for any strike, the paper added, citing US defense officials.
Israel has vowed a painful retaliation for an Oct. 1 Iranian attack with nearly 200 ballistic missiles, while the United States has publicly urged its ally in the region to carry out a proportional response that avoids nuclear and oil sites.
Arab states astride the Persian Gulf including Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar have refused to let Israel use their air space in any attack, Reuters reported on Wednesday citing Arab officials.
The US allies are lobbying Washington to prevent Israel from striking oil facilities in Iran for fear that their own oil infrastructure would be hit in a counterattack.
Much of the oil market's spare capacity lies with Arab countries in the Persian Gulf region.
Top oil exporter Saudi Arabia has had a political rapprochement with Tehran since 2023 which has helped ease regional tensions, but relations remain strained.
Saudi Arabia has been wary of an Iranian strike on its oil facilities since a 2019 attack on its key refinery at Abqaiq briefly shut down more than 5% of global oil supply. Iran denied involvement.
Following two recent assassination attempts and reports of alleged threats from Iran, Donald Trump's campaign has requested additional security, including military aircraft and vehicles, as he continues his presidential bid.
The US Secret Service confirmed that the former president is receiving "the highest levels of protection" but acknowledged the campaign's request for further measures. President Biden stated that Trump is being protected as if he were a sitting president, adding that if Trump's request aligns with those protections, it should be granted.
Politico reported that US officials now recognize the severity of the Iranian threat to Donald Trump and his former foreign policy team, particularly those involved in the decision to target and kill IRGC General Qasem Soleimani in January 2020.
Iran's attempts to target Donald Trump and former US officials involved in the Soleimani strike are far more aggressive and expansive than previously known, multiple officials aware of the situation told Politico. US authorities have acknowledged the seriousness of the threat, with Iran showing clear determination to retaliate against those it holds responsible for Soleimani's death.
While numerous Iranian officials and government media have threatened Trump and his former team since 2020, Tehran officially denies any such intentions. Right after Soleimani’s killing, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei threatened revenge. That promise was taken up by several Iranian officials who translated Khamenei’s words to issue direct threats against Trump.
Following Khamenei’s proclamation of a “harsh revenge”, his official account on X (then Twitter) published an image of Trump on a golf course under the shadow of a drone, hinting at his targeting. That post has since been deleted. Khamenei’s official website also released an animation with the same theme, showing IRGC forces killing Trump using a robot.
On the anniversary of Soleimani’s assassination, his successor, Ismail Qa’ani, hinted at the intention to target Trump in an address to Iran’s parliament. “American agents involved in the assassination of martyr Soleimani should learn the secretive life of Salman Rushdie because the Islamic Republic will avenge his unjustly spilled blood.” Other threats by former Iranian president Ebrahim Raisi and his foreign minister followed.
In February 2023, Amir Ali Hajizadeh, the IRGC Aerospace Commander, appeared on a TV program to explain Iran’s actions to avenge Soleimani. He said, “We did not intend to kill [US soldiers]. God willing, we will kill Trump, Pompeo, [Frank] McKenzie, and the military commanders who ordered [Soleimani’s assassination].”
Donald Trump's campaign has reportedly contacted White House Chief of Staff Jeff Zients and Acting Secret Service Director Ronald Rowe to request military support for security during the presidential campaign, as he faces Vice President Kamala Harris in the upcoming election. Citing insufficient protection, the campaign said it has had to adjust or cancel events, according to The New York Times. Additionally, The Washington Post reported the campaign requested expanded flight restrictions and ballistic glass at rallies in key battleground states.