Iran facing escalating land subsidence crisis
Iran is confronting a nationwide crisis as land subsidence reaches critical levels in the country, with only one province exempt.
Iran is confronting a nationwide crisis as land subsidence reaches critical levels in the country, with only one province exempt.
Ali Beitollahi, Head of the Engineering Seismology and Risk Department at Iran's University of Science and Technology, warned that despite clear and mounting evidence, policymakers have yet to fully grasp the gravity of this impending catastrophe.
Beitollahi also highlighted the alarming issue of land subsidence affecting Iran’s historical monuments, including Isfahan's Naqsh-e Jahan Square, its ancient mosques, Persepolis, and the Naqsh-e Rostam complex.
He said, “Although published images of subsidence at Naqsh-e Rostam are not entirely accurate, our field inspections confirm the presence of significant cracks due to subsidence.”
He expressed deep concern over the lack of institutional accountability and emphasized that historical monuments and key structures in large cities and subsidence-prone areas urgently require specialized repairs.
Beitollahi further stressed the urgent need for mandatory regulations to address land subsidence, lamenting that no such legislation has yet been enacted. The subsidence crisis has long plagued Persepolis and surrounding ancient sites like Naqsh-e Rostam.
Maryam Dehghani, a faculty member at Shiraz University, remarked last week that subsidence is occurring within 300 to 500 meters of Persepolis and as close as 10 meters to Naqsh-e Rostam, with large, visible cracks forming in these areas.
Beitollahi, who has consistently warned about such dangers, noted in April that the rise in subsidence rates can be partly attributed to “extensive well drilling, which has severely depleted groundwater levels across the country.”
According to the head of the National Cartographic Center, Ali Javidaneh, the average rate of land subsidence in Iran is five times the global average, a phenomenon also affecting vital infrastructure such as airports, roads, and railways.
In September, The Guardian reported that groundwater depletion in Iran is reaching a critical threshold, as revealed by a comprehensive study. This has led to extensive subsidence across vast regions, with satellite imagery showing cracks and sinkholes forming in various parts of the country. In some areas, the land is sinking at over 10 centimeters per year due to excessive groundwater extraction.
The same study highlighted that it could take hundreds, if not thousands, of years for these depleted water resources to naturally replenish.
Last year, reports emerged indicating that the Iranian government had withheld key information regarding the worsening subsidence crisis. In March, Iranian experts classified the situation as "critical," warning that it threatens the lives of over 39 million people.
The crisis is driven by a combination of factors, including dam construction, climate change, inefficient water use in agriculture and industry, and the over-extraction of underground aquifers through illegal wells. These interrelated issues now pose a severe risk to millions across the country.
The students in faculties of medicine, dentistry, pharmaceuticals and veterinary science, already grappling with inflation and rising costs of living, took to the streets in protest of the hike which is usually closer to 10-25% annually.
"Someone help us! The 300 million rial (about $500) tuition for medical science programs has suddenly tripled, and now we are stuck with no way forward or back," one medical student at a protest rally on Saturday said, summing up the frustration felt by many.
Over the past week, students have staged several protests in front of key government buildings including the Ministry of Health, the Secretariat of the Supreme Council of the Cultural Revolution, and the Presidential Office. Placards carried by demonstrators asked questions like, "Why wasn’t the threefold increase announced? Is Azad University for elites or the wealthy?"
The protests began after tuition fees for medical students surged from 300 million rials (about $470) to 900 million rials (about $1400) per semester without prior notice.
Nazanin Abbasi, the secretary of the student council at Islamic Azad University in Mashhad, voiced her concern, stating, “The tuition has suddenly tripled to 900 million rials per semester, amounting to roughly 20 billion rials (over $31,000) for the entire program. This is in stark contrast to the monthly salary of a medical resident, which is only 15 million rials ($235)."
In response to the outcry, Mohammad Ghorbani, the spokesperson for Islamic Azad University, tried to justify the tuition increase and denied it was tripled. "Tuition increases at Islamic Azad University typically range between 10 to 25 percent, but this time, the increase for medical sciences was nearly double. The reason for the increase is tied to annual inflation and the high costs of educational infrastructure and medical equipment." His comment contradicts the information provided by students.
He added that over 70% of students have already paid their fees, while only 5-6% are protesting. Despite this, the discontent is palpable among the student body, especially considering the deteriorating state of the Iranian economy.
Ali Shirazi, a journalist speaking to Iran International, explained that as families already struggle with inflation and daily necessities, the abrupt tuition hike places an additional burden on them. Over one third of Iranians have been pushed below the poverty line since in the latest recession which has seen the currency massively devalued.
"This increase comes without any additional benefits for the students," Shirazi said. "There’s no new technology, no international professors, and the infrastructure remains outdated due to ongoing sanctions."
The Progressive Students group condemned the tuition hike, criticizing the commercialization of education. "What is happening now is unprecedented. The corrupt officials at Islamic Azad University have rushed to exploit high-demand medical fields, suddenly tripling already high tuition fees," the group stated.
They calculated that medical students will have to pay around 20 billion rials over seven years to become doctors, a figure far out of reach for the majority of families in Iran.
Students and experts alike argue that this move prevents working-class families from accessing medical education, making it a field reserved for the elite.
Niyayesh Nowruzadeh, another medical student, pointed out that the tuition last year was 320 million rials, and they had been expecting a 25-30% increase. Instead, they were shocked when the university announced the new 900 million rials fee.
Adding to the students' frustration, the Iranian government recently issued a directive prohibiting the sale of 'service obligations' that would allow graduates to pay off their mandatory service years. The move is seen as a way to hold graduates' diplomas hostage and prevent them from leaving the country, as many young professionals are looking for better opportunities abroad due to Iran’s economic, social, and political instability.
At a protest on Saturday in front of the Ministry of Health, students voiced their discontent with the new directive. "The government is taking actions to take the university degrees of the graduates hostage to prevent their exodus from the country," said Mohsen Moheimani, an expert on Iranian affairs, in an interview with Iran International.
"The health ministry has announced that the service obligation of the students to serve in hospitals must not be sold to them anymore, using this trick to prevent them from leaving as the healthcare system faces a shortage of staff."
Meanwhile, the Tehran Prosecutor’s Office has vowed to take action against institutions facilitating student emigration.
Valiollah Mahboudi, the Deputy Prosecutor of Public Rights in Tehran, announced that “a list of unauthorized student emigration agencies had been compiled and sent to the police, promising strict action against any violations.”
The crackdown on these institutions comes as more Iranians seek to study abroad. Many are disillusioned with the economic situation, and the exodus of skilled professionals is becoming a growing concern. According to the head of the Iranian Medical Council, up to 3,000 doctors left Iran in 2022, driven by low salaries, poor working conditions, and economic instability.
With no relief in sight and the costs of education soaring, many young Iranians feel trapped, unable to advance their careers or leave the country in search of better opportunities.
“The authorities have not said where they have taken him from the prison… It’s not clear which hospital he is in …The family hasn’t been informed where he is and haven’t been able to see him,” a source close to the family told Iran International on condition of anonymity on Saturday.
An Instagram account associated with Salmanzadeh reported Friday night that he had fallen into a "coma" due to a hunger strike and that "an ambulance was on its way to Ghezel Hesar prison." However, it is not clear if he lost consciousness for a while or he is in complete coma. Some sources called it a state of "semi-coma."
Salmanzadeh began his hunger strike last Tuesday, protesting the lack of medical care for his worsening health conditions, including prostate issues, according to the source. The hunger strike allegedly caused his blood pressure to drop dangerously low, making him unconscious.
“He experienced severe bleeding, and they didn’t take him to the hospital, so he went on a hunger strike,” the source added.
Intelligence agents are said to be pressuring the family, adding to their distress having already lost a young family member during Iran’s 2019 protests and the father being imprisoned in the aftermath of his advocacy for justice, according to the source.
Arrest and charges
After his arrest in May by intelligence agents at his family home, Salmanzadeh was subsequently held in Tehran’s Evin Prison, Ward 209.
A court in Tehran had previously sentenced Reza Salmanzadeh to three years and eight months in August 2022 on charges of “propaganda against the regime” and “membership in an unlawful group to act against national security,” according to US-based Human Rights Activist News Agency (HRANA). This case was closed in February 2023 following a clemency directive.
However, while in prison, authorities brought new charges against Salmanzadeh in a joint case involving Evin prison inmates for which he is now serving a sentence of seven years and 74 lashes related to the case.
In September 2023, Salmanzadeh was transferred to Ghezel Hesar prison alongside 12 other prisoners. Following their transfer the prisoners were kept “in a cramped 12 square meter room in the high-security Unit 3 of Ghezel Hesar prison, in difficult conditions and without access to basic amenities such as hot water and telephones,” Kurdistan Human Rights Network reported.
Systemic denial of medical care in prison
At the end of July this year, HRANA warned that Salmanzadeh was deprived of proper medical care in Ghezel Hesar prison despite his poor physical condition.
He had previously gone on hunger strike as part of the weekly ‘No to Execution’ campaign protesting the Islamic Republic’s execution spree across Iran’s prisons.
At least 34 political prisoners, including Salmanzadeh, have been "systematically denied access to proper medical services" as a form of state retaliation for being outspoken critics of the surge in executions in Iran, according to a report by the US-based Center for Human Rights in Iran (CHRI) in August.
CHRI noted that "vocal critics of Iran’s surging executions and unjust imprisonments have become particular targets for state abuse," reflecting a broader pattern of deliberate neglect and mistreatment.
Salmanzadeh’s son found hanged in family home after attending 2019 protests
Salmanzadeh’s 14-year-old son, Mehdi, was found dead in their family home in December 2019 after attending the protests marking the 40-day memorial for those killed in the November 2019 nationwide demonstrations, as documented by US-based rights group Abdorrahman Boroumand Center (ABC).
The November 2019 protests, often referred to as Bloody November, initially erupted due to a significant increase in fuel prices, quickly transforming into demands for government overthrow and opposition to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. At least 1,500 protestors were killed by security forces, according to figures reported by Reuters at the time.
Mehdi’s mother found his son's “naked body hanging from the wall closet”, according to the rights group United for Iran, citing a video interview with Reza Salmanzadeh in December 2019.
In the interview, he said that doctors and detectives suspected Mehdi was killed before being hanged, but Iran’s intelligence police dismissed the case as suicide, despite CCTV footage showing the suspected killer. The case was quickly closed without further investigation.
ABC’s Omid Memorial, which documents human rights abuses by the Islamic Republic, describes Mehdi's death as an "extrajudicial execution" and says his father's efforts to seek justice resulted in his arrest and conviction.
The case underscores a broader crisis within the Islamic Republic’s judicial and prison system and the authorities' systemic abuse of slain protestors' families as reported by Amnesty International in 2023 and the United Nations Human Rights Council’s Fact-Finding Mission on Iran's latest report this year.
In a speech on Sunday during National Exports Day, Pezeshkian criticized the commitments imposed by parliament, arguing that they have placed excessive burdens on the state and contributed to the country's economic challenges.
"The commitments that the parliament has imposed on governments do not align with reality," Pezeshkian said, adding, "On one hand, they have created a debt-ridden government with imbalances in banks and funds, and then they say, 'Solve it.'"
His remarks come as Iran continues to grapple with the economic consequences of US oil export and banking sanctions, which have driven the country into a financial downturn.
"We are at war—a war that these dishonorable people [the West] have imposed on us, worsening the situation day by day. Today, it's not a missile war, but a war of ideas and production," he stated, in what appeared as a political jab against hardliners, who have the majority at the parliament.
Amid such admissions, criticism of the government’s handling of the economic crisis has intensified, particularly from the media affiliated with Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). One of the primary targets of this criticism is Abdolnaser Hemmati, Iran’s Minister of Finance, who has come under fire for mentioning sanctions as the greatest economic issue for the country.
In a report by the IRGC-affiliated Tasnim news website, Hemmati was described as the wrong choice for minister of economy. The report accused him of acknowledging the effects of Western sanctions, which the agency claims reveals Tehran's empty hands to its adversaries.
Hemmati, who recently tweeted that “implementing economic reforms and efforts to reduce sanctions is the key to solving the country’s problems,” was further lambasted by Tasnim.
"Mr. Hemmati, who apparently knows more about media than economics, last night posted a tweet that seemed more like a dangerous signal and message of weakness to the enemy, emphasizing his inability to solve economic problems without lifting the sanctions. It appears that he has mistakenly occupied the position of minister of economy,” Tasnim wrote.
Iran’s economy has been impacted by US-led sanctions, which have crippled its oil revenues, devalued the rial, and driven annual inflation to above 40%. The national currency reached a near-historic low on Sunday, with the US dollar trading at 646,000 rials, marking an increase of close to 10% since August.
The stock market, too, reflected the broader economic instability, with Tehran’s exchange losing approximately 19,000 units on Sunday, on top of 24,000 on Saturday, standing at nearly 2 million points.
As the country’s financial situation worsens, fears of a regional conflict with Israel have prompted Iranians to safeguard their wealth by converting assets into more stable investments like gold. The price of gold coins has surged, with values reaching nearly 560 million rials—an increase of 22 million rials in just one day.
Reza Gheibi, an economic expert, told Iran International that the shift to gold and foreign currency is a direct result of public fears over the future of the Iranian economy. "Iran’s relentless regional aggression and its deeply ingrained ideological perspectives will prevent the country from finding a way out of this crisis," Gheibi said.
Meanwhile, Arash Azarmi, an economic journalist, predicted that as the economic crisis deepens, internal tensions between Pezeshkian and the hardline opposition aligned with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei will become more pronounced.
In an interview with Iran International, Azarmi also noted that any economic reforms are unlikely to succeed under US sanctions. "As long as these sanctions are in place, Iran’s trade is illegal and unofficial. BRICS and Shanghai Cooperation Organization cannot offer a solution," he remarked.
As economic tensions rise and Iran remains isolated from the global market, the country’s leadership continues to face growing pressure with critics both inside and outside the government voicing their frustrations.
