Israel mulling attack on Iran nuclear sites, US intelligence assesses - WSJ
An Israeli F-35 in flight.
Israel is considering attacks on Iran's nuclear sites and views its Mideast adversary as vulnerable, US intelligence agencies assessed in the waning days of the Joe Biden administration, the Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday.
Israel was considering significant strikes on Iran in 2025 and viewed President Donald Trump as more amenable to their plans, the paper cited officials familiar with the assessment as saying.
US intelligence cited the risk of further conflict in the Middle East and characterized Iran as weakened following an Oct. 26 Israeli attack on Iran, adding that Israel views the window for denying Iran a nuclear weapons capability as fast closing.
Iran denies seeking a nuclear weapon but Israel says is Mideast nemesis wants an atomic bomb and must be denied the power to destroy the Jewish state.
Trump, long an opponent of foreign wars, reimposed the so-called maximum pressure campaign on Iran of his first term this month but said he much preferred a deal and described any reports of a US-Israeli strike on Iran as "greatly exaggerated".
Diplomatic room for US-Iran talks for a nuclear deal appeared to narrow in the past week as Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei rejected the idea of negotiations and relatively moderate President Masoud Pezeshkian endorsed the stance.
Israel has publicly broached the idea of an attack in the past.
“Iran today is more exposed than ever to damage to its nuclear facilities," Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz said in November.
Since the Oct. 7, 2023 attack on Israel by Iran-backed Hamas militants from Gaza, Israel has been locked in a region-wide conflict with Iran and its armed allies.
Escalating a conflict with Hezbollah in Lebanon in late September, Israel began to gain the initiative and solidified its advantage with a direct air attack on Iran in retaliation for a missile salvo from the Islamic Republic.
Israel and the United States said those attacks mostly knocked out Iran's anti-aircraft capabilities and left it exposed to any future strikes.
Analysts widely view Iran's fortified and underground nuclear sites as potentially beyond the ability of Israeli bombers to destroy and may require American help or collaboration.
The Iranian makers of My Favorite Cake, a critically-acclaimed film about a widow's search for companionship, have been summoned to a revolutionary court in Tehran over multiple charges including violation of public morality and ethics.
The film tells the story of a woman striving to live out her desires, including for intimacy, in a country where women's rights are heavily restricted.
Maryam Moghaddam and Behtash Sanaeeha have been summoned to Branch 26 of the Tehran Revolutionary Court, according to separate summonses they shared on Instagram, and are set to stand trial on March 1.
Moghaddam and Sanaeeha have been charged with propaganda against the Islamic Republic, producing, distributing and screening a film with obscene content, violating public morality and ethics and screening a film without a proper exhibition license.
The indictment cites their roles as producers, writers and directors of My Favorite Cake, accusing them of attempting to screen, distribute, and reproduce the film, which authorities say constitutes grounds for legal action.
The couple had previously been barred from attending their film's premiere at the Berlin Film Festival last February. They were set to attend the Swedish premiere in September when they found out that they cannot leave.
British newspaper The Guardian's named My Favorite Cake 2024's second-best film.
At Berlin Film Festival, the film won the Prize of the Ecumenical Jury Competition and the FIPRESCI Prize. It also won the Chicago Film Festival's Silver Hugo for in the New Directors Competition.
The film is just one of an increasing number of new Iranian films being produced without the Culture Ministry's permission in defiance of the country's strict ideological censorship and hijab regulations for actresses.
Many filmmakers are bypassing regulations requiring them to obtain approval at various stages of production, from screenplay inception to final screening and entry into international film festivals.
These new independent films challenge compulsory hijab rules, depicting Iranian women without the mandated head covering. This defiance has grown, especially following the 2022 Woman, Life, Freedom protest movement.
US sanctions on Iran and Russia are warding off buyers and stranding vessels laden with their oil at sea, Reuters reported on Wednesday citing trade sources and analysts.
A series of stepped-up US sanctions beginning in October on Russian and Iranian tankers, companies and entities facilitating their oil trade is increasingly hampering oil exports which are the main source of revenue for both countries.
US President Donald Trump this month reinstated the so-called "maximum pressure" campaign on Iran from his first term, aiming to drive its oil sales to zero.
Since the sanctions were ramped up in the fourth quarter of last year, OPEC member Iran has faced a challenge chartering tankers to move its supplies, Reuters cited Xu Muyu, a senior analyst at energy consultancy Kpler, as saying.
Kpler figures indicated that Iranian oil in so-called floating storage stood at an over one-year high exceeding 25 million barrels, with around 80% of the volume at sea off Malaysia and Singapore.
The total amount of Iranian oil at sea rose by as much as 20 million barrels already just since the start of 2025, three analysts cited by Reuters said.
A ban last month by the Shandong Port Group on US-sanctioned tankers has deprived Iran access to the operator of top crude importer China's largest oil terminals receiving Iranian, Russian and Venezuelan oil.
China accounts for 95% of Iran's oil exports, but it does not purchase the oil directly.
Instead, small independent refineries typically Iranian oil after it is blended with crude from other countries, ensuring it is not labeled as Iranian by Chinese customs in order to comply with sanctions against Iran.
Iran has slipped to its lowest corruption ranking yet since global watchdog Transparency International began tracking, sinking to 151 out of 180 countries.
According to Transparency International’s 2024 Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) released Tuesday, Iran fell by one spot from the previous year, scoring 23 out of 100, where zero means most corrupt and 100, least.
The CPI, the most widely used global corruption ranking in the world, assesses countries and territories annually on how corrupt their public sector is perceived to be by experts.
It covers various markers of public sector corruption, including the misuse of public power for private benefit without facing consequences, bribery, diversion of public funds, nepotistic appointments and access to information on public affairs or government activities.
Each country’s score is drawn from 13 different corruption surveys and assessments by a variety of institutions including the World Bank and the World Economic Forum.
Transparency International reported that 47 countries recorded their lowest scores since the current ranking system was introduced in 2012.
Iran's score was lower than Iraq's at 26 but higher than Lebanon's at 22.
South Sudan, Somalia and Venezuela held the lowest scores in 2024.
Transparency International said the "state of anti-corruption efforts in the Middle East and North Africa region remains bleak," attributing the stagnation to the near-absolute control of political leaders.
The global watchdog added that countries experiencing conflict, severe restrictions on freedoms, and weak democratic institutions, rank lowest on the index.
The watchdog said that leaders in the region benefit from wealth directed toward themselves while suppressing dissent to maintain power.
Their authority, it added, has also stalled progress on global issues such as combating climate change and advancing gender equity.
In October 2023, a report by the World Bank has put Iran among the worst countries in the world in terms of Worldwide Governance Indicators, with a Voice and Accountability Index score of -1.45, placing it among the lowest for political participation, free expression, and media freedom.
Syria’s Foreign Minister said Wednesday that the country's new government is seeking reassurances from Russia and Iran to rebuild trust after years of conflict and their alignment with ousted President Bashar al-Assad.
Speaking at the World Government Summit in Dubai, Asaad Hassan al-Shibani emphasized the need for a clear policy shift: “There are positive messages, but we want these positive messages to turn into a clear policy that makes the Syrian people feel reassured.”
The Syrian conflict, which erupted in 2011, saw Iran and Russia back Assad militarily, enabling him to hold power until a rebel offensive forced his exile to Moscow late last year.
The transitional government that replaced him faces the challenge of navigating relations with former allies. “There are wounds among the Syrian people and there is pain that the Syrian people have suffered at the hands of these two countries,” Shibani added.
Russia aims to maintain its naval and air bases in Syria, with Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov meeting Syria’s interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa in Damascus last month.
Meanwhile, Iran, which once supported Assad and had a formidable military presence the country, has begun communicating directly with Syria’s new leadership.
A senior Iranian official told Reuters in December that Tehran had opened a direct line of communication with Syria's new leadership.
However, Tehran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s December call for Syrian youth to resist their new rulers has raised tensions. Shibani warned, “Iran must respect the will of the Syrian people and the country’s sovereignty and security.”
Syria’s war devastated the nation, claiming hundreds of thousands of lives. Iran withdrew in December after the rebel victory, marking a significant setback for Tehran’s regional influence.
Negotiations between Iran and the United States remain possible if President Donald Trump adopts a less "confrontational and arrogant" tone toward Tehran, wrote the editor of a conservative newspaper founded by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
In a sign of growing internal debate, Massih Mohajeri of the Jomhouri Eslami newspaper sharply criticized officials and media figures who brand supporters of negotiations as “infiltrators” and “dishonored elements”, describing this stance as “utterly against freedom of expression.”
Despite Khamenei’s strong opposition to talks with the United States, some Iranian officials and media have continued to discuss the possibility of negotiations.
Though Mohajeri—personally appointed by Khamenei as the paper’s editor—did not name specific targets, his remarks were widely interpreted as aimed at ultraconservative lawmakers and Kayhan, another newspaper funded by Khamenei.
Mohajeri argued that such individuals and media outlets oppose the principles and teachings of Islam and cannot persuade public opinion to reject negotiations.
Meanwhile, Vice President Mohammad Reza Aref reinforced Khamenei’s stance against talks with the Trump administration.
"Both sides should benefit from transactions, but I believe there is no profit in dealing with the United States. Trump has shown that he is not trustworthy," he said, adding that "Trump may be trusted only if he is reformed, and that is unlikely to happen."
Massih Mohajeri, editor of an influential daily in Tehran
Kourosh Ahmadi, a former Iranian diplomat who served at Iran’s mission to the United Nations in New York, highlighted what he called a disinformation campaign by Iranian officials aiming to distort Trump’s message to Tehran. He also dismissed as “meaningless” the claim that negotiations are tantamount to surrender, arguing instead that maintaining a tough stance can compel the other side to retreat or modify its position.
Ahmadi added that as it has been stated in a White House document issued last week, "the fact that negotiation has become a taboo in Iran is not understandable."
He said that the National Security Presidential Memorandum (NSPM) signed by Trump is aimed at "restoring maximum pressure on the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran, denying Iran all paths to a nuclear weapon, and countering Iran’s malign influence abroad."
He further characterized Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf's statement, that alleged Trump wishes to disarm Iran, as disinformation and fake news and added that only the text that has been signed by Trump should be considered as his and the White House's official view.
However, he noted, "During the first two weeks after his inauguration, Trump created some hope for the start of negotiations with Iran. I have no idea what led to the unexpected shift in his position." Ahmadi suggested that Trump's approach might have been a negotiation tactic, similar to his dealings with Mexico and Panama, where he initially took an aggressive stance but softened his tone once he saw signs of agreement from the other side.
Despite perceptions in Tehran that Trump has taken a harsher stance toward the Islamic Republic, his position remains unchanged from his first term. This time, however, he has balanced his renewed “maximum pressure” strategy with a stronger emphasis on seeking peace through diplomacy.
The former Iranian diplomat urged officials to consider Trump's memorandum and the White House statement within a broader context to avoid being misled. He also cautioned those influenced by the disinformation campaign, emphasizing that "proper decision-making requires accurate information."
In his editorial, Mohajeri emphasized that the Iranian constitution grants everyone the right to express their views, including on negotiations with the United States. However, he reiterated that "Khamenei is the one who has the final say about relations with the United States" and criticized Trump’s approach, stating, "The US president spoke arrogantly and put forward irrational expectations."
"If the US president gives up his arrogant rhetoric and speaks modestly with Iran, then the roads to negotiation are open," he concluded.