Oil could hit $200 if Hormuz Strait closed, Khamenei representative warns
A map showing the Strait of Hormuz and Iran is seen in this illustration created on June 22, 2025.
A representative of Iran's Supreme Leader has urged restrictions on Western shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, saying such a move would drive global oil prices to $200 and deal an economic blow to Iran's adversaries.
Israel is buying two more aerial refueling aircraft to boost its long-range strike capability against Iran, Israeli outlet Ynet reported, as the Revolutionary Guards’ chief warned Saturday of harsher retaliation in any renewed conflict.
Israel ordered two more Boeing KC-46 refueling aircraft as part of a $500-million deal with Boeing to expand its future fleet to six, the report said.
"The move aims to enable sustained air operations deep into Iran and shorten future combat rounds against Tehran,” according to the Ynet report.
The KC-46s will replace Israel’s current refueling fleet which were used in operations against Houthi rebels in Yemen and during the 12-day war with Iran in June.
During the 12-day war, the Israeli air force achieved air superiority over Iran, according to Israeli broadcaster Channel 12.
Israel launched a surprise military campaign on June 13 targeting Iran's military and nuclear sites, killing 1,062 people including 276 civilians.
Iran responded with missile strikes that killed 31 civilians and one off-duty soldier, according to official figures published by the Israeli government.
Despite a US-brokered ceasefire in late June, Iran and Israel’s armed forces have been preparing for a possible resumption of conflict, with military leaders on both sides vowing readiness for further strikes.
Iran vows crushing response
In Tehran, Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps commander-in-chief Mohammad Pakpour warned of harsher strikes on Israel if the war resumes.
“If aggression is repeated, Israel will face a crushing response that will make it regret it,” he said.
Earlier this week, the Islamic Republic's top security official Ali Larijani said Tehran must remain prepared for a fresh round of conflict as the war with Israel is not over.
The Islamic Republic needs to "create capacities so that the enemy will not be tempted to take action again," Larijani said in an interview with the Supreme Leader's official website, published on Friday.
"Right now, since we are engaged in a war currently paused by a ceasefire, this is therefore an important matter that we must pay attention to."
Iran has overhauled its visa rules starting this month, requiring foreign tourists to enter only through organized tours booked with registered agencies, the Travel and Tour World website reported Saturday.
"This change effectively bans independent travel, requiring tourists to submit additional documentation, including a detailed resume, tour operator contract, and confirmed hotel bookings," the online magazine said.
Under the new rules cited by the outlet, tourists are also required to travel with licensed guides for their entire stay. Payments are only made once the visa is approved, and applications take two to three weeks to process.
Iran’s foreign and tourism ministries have not confirmed the report or announced any changes to the country’s visa regulations.
Though framed as a means to ensure structured and secure tourism, these newly reported regulations are being introduced just a couple of months after Iran arrested thousands including foreign visitors following the 12-day conflict with Israel in June.
The Islamic Republic has a longstanding record of detaining visiting academics, dual nationals, and other foreigners—often accused of espionage in cases widely perceived abroad as political leverage or hostage diplomacy.
In June, a European national was arrested in northwestern Iran for allegedly attempting to spy on sensitive areas. In another case, two foreign nationals were detained in Karaj, west of Tehran, for allegedly working as Mossad agents.
The rising number of detentions triggered concern across Europe and the United States. A US State Department cable cited unconfirmed reports of Americans being detained and noted that many US nationals faced delays and harassment while trying to leave Iran.
“This measure is intended to give authorities a deeper understanding of the applicant’s background and to evaluate any potential security risks,” the report by the Travel and Tour World website said.
According to the report, Iranian authorities now require applicants to provide a signed contract with an officially registered tour operator. This contract must include a detailed itinerary specifying travel dates, routes, and destinations, as well as confirmed hotel reservations arranged directly through the tour agency.
Independent accommodation—such as staying with private individuals or using platforms like Couchsurfing—will also be strictly prohibited, the report said.
If true, the new visa regulations would make it more difficult for foreign travelers to visit Iran on their own.
The country, historically known for its rich cultural and historical heritage as well as its natural beauty, has struggled to attract foreign tourists in recent years. Despite its allure, the country faced challenges such as strict dress codes for women and restrictions on alcohol and nightlife.
Several teachers in Iran's Kordestan province have been dismissed on what authorities described as security-related charges and removal of compulsory hijab, a media outlet affiliated with Iran’s Revolutionary Guards confirmed on Saturday.
“A review of the documents on these individuals' activities shows that they defied (mandatory) hijab laws, incited students to leave classes, and even procured solar panels and supplies for armed (opposition) elements,” Fars News Agency wrote.
“According to the confessions of these teachers and the documents available, they not only played a role in the 2022 unrest but were also in contact with the PJAK militant group and provided them with food and equipment,” Fars reported citing an informed source.
PJAK, a PKK-affiliated group designated as a terrorist organization by Iran, Turkey, and the United States, seeks self-determination for Iran's Kurdish minority.
“These individuals, by abusing their job positions, have tried to create unrest and disrupt the educational process by closing schools, threatening other teachers, and organizing illegal sit-ins," the Fars report said.
However, a former teacher in Iran's Kordestan province says the crackdown targets teachers for their civil activism and their defense of students and their rights.
"At least six teachers have been fired, two suspended, several forced into early retirement, and one sent into exile — all because they refused to 'repent' for their civil activities and for standing firm in defending their students," Shahed Alavi told Iran International.
"This is the outcome of their resilience and defiance," he added.
Teachers’ unions denounce expulsions
Three professional associations of teachers in Kordestan and Kermanshah issued statements condemning the expulsions and disciplinary measures on Friday. They warned that the policies amounted to organized repression and would deepen the educational crisis while threatening the future of students.
The Kordestan Teachers’ Union described the dismissals as “unjust and vindictive,” calling them proof of the state’s “repressive policies.”
It further warned of consequences for the authorities, arguing that the expulsions represented the beginning of a new phase of resistance.
File photo of a protest by Iranian teachers
“Teachers in the province had long been subjected to pressure and discrimination, which intensified after the nationwide protests of 2022,” read the statement.
The 2022 protests in Iran, also known as the Woman Life Freedom Movement, erupted in September after the death of 22-year-old Mahsa "Jina" Amini in the custody of Iran’s morality police.
Her death sparked widespread outrage, with demonstrations quickly spreading across dozens of cities. Protesters—many of them women and young people—called for greater freedoms, the abolition of mandatory hijab laws, and broader political reforms.
The movement soon evolved into one of the largest waves of dissent in Iran in decades, with workers’ strikes, university demonstrations, and global solidarity rallies amplifying the calls for change.
The government responded with a harsh crackdown, including mass arrests, internet shutdowns, and deadly force against demonstrators, drawing international condemnation.
Iran’s intelligence forces killed six militants and arrested two in restive Sistan and Baluchestan province after deadly attacks by Jaish ul-Adl Sunni militants left several police forces dead, local authorities announced on Saturday.
A statement by the provincial intelligence department said two intelligence officers and one police force were also injured in the operation.
The department said the militants had crossed the country’s eastern border in recent days.
The group was described as being “equipped with various weapons, ammunition and explosive devices."
The operation came one day after Jaish ul-Adl gunmen attacked two police patrol units near Iranshahr in the southeastern Sistan-Baluchestan province, killing five officers.
Police said the attackers opened fire on vehicles stationed on the Khash-Iranshahr road.
The attack was the latest in a surge of violence in the province, which borders Pakistan and Afghanistan and has long been a hotspot for militant activity and drug trafficking.
On August 15, an Iranian police officer was killed and another wounded when Jaish ul-Adl gunmen opened fire on their military vehicle in Iranshahr, local police said.
Iran has asked Belarus for assistance in restoring its damaged air defense and electronic warfare systems following the June conflict with Israel, Ukraine’s Foreign Intelligence Service said.
“Unlike Russia, Belarus is less restricted by sanctions in the military-technical sphere and could become a channel for restoring Iran’s defense capabilities,” the intelligence agency said in a statement, according to The Kyiv Independent.
The report said the request was raised during President Masoud Pezeshkian’s recent visit to Minsk, where he met Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko.
While official discussions focused on trade and investment, Ukrainian intelligence said Tehran sought covert support for defense needs.
“Iran plans to use Belarus as another channel to access sanctioned goods,” the statement said. “For Minsk, this presents the prospect of participating in projects that go far beyond the officially announced topics.”
Both countries are close allies of Moscow. Iran has supplied Russia with drones and missiles used in attacks on Ukraine, while Belarus allowed Russian forces to use its territory to stage operations.
Pezeshkian’s August 20 visit to Belarus highlighted Tehran’s “Look East” strategy of closer alignment with Russia, China and their sanctioned allies.
Iranian state-linked outlets framed the trip as defiance of Western pressure and a “clear message against unilateralism and sanctions.”
Pezeshkian’s August 20 visit to Belarus highlighted Tehran’s “Look East” strategy of closer alignment with Russia, China and their sanctioned allies.
Iranian state-linked outlets framed the trip as defiance of Western pressure and a “clear message against unilateralism and sanctions.”
Belarus, like Iran, is under heavy sanctions and has faced sharp isolation over its support for Moscow in Ukraine.
Iran entered the June war with a fragmented mix of Russian S-300s, Chinese batteries and its own Bavar-373 systems, supported by short-range platforms like Raad, Khordad and Azarkhsh, but with poorly integrated radars.
Israeli strikes on June 13 destroyed or disabled about 120 systems — a third of Iran’s arsenal — including long-range units, aided by Mossad drone attacks inside Iran. For much of the 12-day conflict, Israeli jets, including F-35s, struck targets nationwide with little resistance.
Tehran admits some defenses were damaged but says pre-positioned reserves quickly replaced them.
By August, state media said defenses were rebuilt and “multiple times stronger,” while Western and Israeli sources said radars remain compromised and vulnerable to suppression.
“We can impose restrictions against the United States, France, Britain and Germany in the Strait of Hormuz and not allow them to navigate,” Hossein Shariatmadari, the representative of Ali Khamenei in the hardline Kayhan newspaper told state broadcaster.
“Just by announcing such a restriction, the oil price will surge to $200, and the biggest economic blow will be dealt to the enemy.”
This is not the first time Shariatmadari has raised the prospect of using Hormuz as leverage. Last year, after European sanctions on Iranian airlines, he urged the closure of the waterway to tankers and cargo ships from “hostile countries.”
Iranian naval vessels patrol the Persian Gulf during a military exercise
At the time, Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Iran had not issued such a threat despite acknowledging it had the capacity to do so.
Closing the strait would be disastrous for Iran itself, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio warned in June.
“If they do that, it will be another terrible mistake. It’s economic suicide for them,” he said, urging China to pressure Tehran against such a move.
Any Iranian closure of Hormuz would be “extremely dangerous,” European Union’s foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said in June, while UK Foreign Secretary David Lammy described it as “a monumental act of self-harm, making a diplomatic solution even harder.”
Global artery under strain
The Strait of Hormuz carries about one-fifth of the world’s oil exports. Iran has never attempted a full closure, but it has disrupted shipping through repeated seizures of commercial vessels.
“Europe and the United States would get miserable” if Tehran restricted oil flows, the Revolutionary Guards–linked Javan newspaper wrote in July, citing a shipping industry figure.
“Even countries with no link to the Iran-Israel war will suffer losses.”
The paper added that greater instability in the Middle East would drive up shipping and insurance costs globally.
Iran’s military loaded naval mines onto vessels in the Persian Gulf after Israeli strikes in June, though the mines were not deployed, according to Reuters.
US officials said the move indicated Tehran was weighing a serious escalation that could cripple global commerce.
Iran’s parliament approved a measure to close the strait in June following US airstrikes, state media reported, though the measure was not binding.