Iran complains to IAEA about possible Israeli attack on nuclear sites
Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei during a press conference in Tehran, Iran, October 21, 2024
Iran has written to the UN nuclear watchdog to complain about Israel's threats against its nuclear sites in a possible retaliatory strike, foreign ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei said on Monday.
Iran is confronting a nationwide crisis as land subsidence reaches critical levels in the country, with only one province exempt.
Ali Beitollahi, Head of the Engineering Seismology and Risk Department at Iran's University of Science and Technology, warned that despite clear and mounting evidence, policymakers have yet to fully grasp the gravity of this impending catastrophe.
Beitollahi also highlighted the alarming issue of land subsidence affecting Iran’s historical monuments, including Isfahan's Naqsh-e Jahan Square, its ancient mosques, Persepolis, and the Naqsh-e Rostam complex.
He said, “Although published images of subsidence at Naqsh-e Rostam are not entirely accurate, our field inspections confirm the presence of significant cracks due to subsidence.”
He expressed deep concern over the lack of institutional accountability and emphasized that historical monuments and key structures in large cities and subsidence-prone areas urgently require specialized repairs.
Beitollahi further stressed the urgent need for mandatory regulations to address land subsidence, lamenting that no such legislation has yet been enacted. The subsidence crisis has long plagued Persepolis and surrounding ancient sites like Naqsh-e Rostam.
Maryam Dehghani, a faculty member at Shiraz University, remarked last week that subsidence is occurring within 300 to 500 meters of Persepolis and as close as 10 meters to Naqsh-e Rostam, with large, visible cracks forming in these areas.
Beitollahi, who has consistently warned about such dangers, noted in April that the rise in subsidence rates can be partly attributed to “extensive well drilling, which has severely depleted groundwater levels across the country.”
According to the head of the National Cartographic Center, Ali Javidaneh, the average rate of land subsidence in Iran is five times the global average, a phenomenon also affecting vital infrastructure such as airports, roads, and railways.
In September, The Guardian reported that groundwater depletion in Iran is reaching a critical threshold, as revealed by a comprehensive study. This has led to extensive subsidence across vast regions, with satellite imagery showing cracks and sinkholes forming in various parts of the country. In some areas, the land is sinking at over 10 centimeters per year due to excessive groundwater extraction.
The same study highlighted that it could take hundreds, if not thousands, of years for these depleted water resources to naturally replenish.
Last year, reports emerged indicating that the Iranian government had withheld key information regarding the worsening subsidence crisis. In March, Iranian experts classified the situation as "critical," warning that it threatens the lives of over 39 million people.
The crisis is driven by a combination of factors, including dam construction, climate change, inefficient water use in agriculture and industry, and the over-extraction of underground aquifers through illegal wells. These interrelated issues now pose a severe risk to millions across the country.
As a senior US diplomat visits Beirut on Monday to discuss the potential for a ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel, Iranian state media continues to tout the "victorious" attacks carried out by Tehran-backed militias.
US envoy Amos Hochstein will visit Beirut on Monday for discussions with Lebanese officials regarding conditions for a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, according to two sources in Lebanon, Reuters reported. The talks come as Israel intensified its air campaign against Hezbollah, targeting several of the group's assets overnight.
Late Sunday, Israeli airstrikes hit multiple branches of a financial institution linked to Hezbollah in Beirut, southern Lebanon, and the Bekaa Valley, though no casualties were immediately reported.
According to a report from Axios, Israel has presented the US with a document outlining its conditions for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict in Lebanon. Among Israel’s demands is the ability for its forces to conduct "active enforcement" to ensure Hezbollah does not rearm or rebuild military infrastructure near the border, the report noted, citing Israeli and US officials.
A US official told Axios it was highly unlikely that Lebanon and the international community would agree to Israel's conditions.
Iran’s government news website, IRNA, on Monday published a lead report highlighting comments by an Arab pundit saying that all militias loyal to Iran are preparing for a “war of cities” by launching a major simultaneous barrage of missiles and drones.
Tasnim news website, affiliated with the Revolutionary Guard, highlighted “victories by Hezbollah,” including multiple rocket attacks on Israeli military targets and border area towns.
Rouydad-24, a relatively independent website highlighted the difficulty for Iran to reduce tensions. “Abbas Araghchi, our Foreign Minister, is constantly traveling and consulting with regional countries, but analysts believe the situation is too complex for him to achieve a diplomatic formula to reduce tensions and establish a ceasefire through these consultations.”
In reality, Araghchi's extensive regional tour last week was primarily focused on advocating for a ceasefire in Lebanon and Gaza, where Israeli military pressure remains relentless. Additionally, he aimed to leverage the influence of Arab countries to help mitigate the looming threat of an Israeli retaliatory strike against Iran.
Israel said its air force overnight attacked dozens of sites in Beirut and southern Lebanon used by Hezbollah to finance its operations, with reports that hundreds of Beirut residents fled their homes after multiple explosions in the Lebanese capital.
An Israeli military spokesperson said earlier in a statement posted on social media platform X that it "will begin attacking infrastructure belonging to the Hezbollah Al-Qard Al-Hassan Association - get away from it immediately." The so-called Islamic banks operate outside the Lebanese banking system and are supposed to be benevolent lending institutions for the needy.
Al-Qard al-Hassan - which the US has said is used by Iran-backed Hezbollah to manage its finances - has more than 30 branches across Lebanon including 15 in densely populated parts of central Beirut and its suburbs.
Asked by journalists whether the branches could be considered military targets, a senior Israeli intelligence official said: "The purpose of this strike is to target the ability of Hezbollah economic function both during the war but also afterwards to rebuild and to rearm ...on the day after."
Former US President and current Republican candidate Donald Trump said Sunday Iran is in great danger as Israel prepares for a retaliatory attack in response to Tehran's October 1 missile barrage.
"Iran is now probably in danger, maybe more so than they'd have thought a month ago, with what's happening," Trump said in an interview with Al-Arabiya. "It's in a lot of danger right now, which is very bad. I don't want to see people killed."
The comments come as Israel's security cabinet is meeting on Sunday night in Tel Aviv to deal with Israel’s response to Iran, The Times of Israel reported citing an Israeli official.
The meeting is being held one day after two US intelligence documents on Israel's preparations for a possible attack on Iran were leaked on the pro-Iran Telegram channel Middle East Spectator.
Another development that could possibly change Israel's attack plans was a Hezbollah drone strike against the residence of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, which reportedly prompted calls in Israel for an even stronger response to Tehran.
Israel's Channel 11 cited an Israeli official as saying that the country is preparing for a "very significant" attack on Iran. "Israel already understands that Iran cannot refrain from responding to this attack, so there are special preparations in this regard."
Last week, the United States authorized the deployment of a Terminal High-Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) battery and personnel to Israel, reaffirming its strong commitment to Israel's defense and the protection of US citizens in Israel from further missile threats. The THAAD system, which complements Israel's existing Patriot missile defenses, can intercept threats at ranges of up to 124 miles.
Three THAAD systems are now operational in Israel, Al-Arabiya reported Sunday, citing unnamed sources.
Iran warns Israel
On Sunday night, IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News cited a military source as saying that a potential Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear sites will not only trigger Iran's response but will also convince the country to "consider nuclear policies."
The military source said if the attack only targets Iran's military positions, Tehran's response will be both "certain" and "beyond the Zionists' estimates."
The source added: "And if the potential action affects facilities and infrastructure in any way, Iran is certainly not committed to maintaining the previous scope, type, or intensity of its response."
"This is a clear message to the Zionists, and they will definitely understand its meaning! Iran neither hesitates nor rushes, but it does not shelve the 'punishment' of madmen in a way that will surprise them more each time," the report added citing the military source.
On Friday, US President Joe Biden said he has insight into "how and when Israel is going to respond to the missile attacks by Iran," though he refrained from providing further details.
This prompted Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi to warn that anyone aware of the timing and manner of an Israeli attack on Iran must be held accountable.
In his Sunday interview with Al-Arabiya, Trump criticized Biden's handling of US-Israel relations, particularly regarding Netanyahu. He said that Biden had initially given Netanyahu instructions to hold back on military action, leaving Israel vulnerable. However, Trump now believes Israel faces less danger.
"Netanyahu is going to do what he wants to do [against Iran], and I think he has to do that. Israel was under great danger. They're under much less danger right now than they were one month ago, let's face it," he remarked.
Commenting on Israel's military response to recent tensions, Trump defended the country’s actions, stating, "You can't blame Israel for hitting back hard, much harder than anyone would have thought. Now everyone's waiting for Israel to make a move" in response to Iran's missile attack.
Tensions between Israel and Iran have escalated sharply since October 1, when Iran launched 181 ballistic missiles at Israel in retaliation for Israel's assassination of Hamas chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran and Hezbollah's leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.
Iranian medical students are protesting a sudden tuition hike at Islamic Azad University taking fees to triple the price while the country endures an economic crisis.
The students in faculties of medicine, dentistry, pharmaceuticals and veterinary science, already grappling with inflation and rising costs of living, took to the streets in protest of the hike which is usually closer to 10-25% annually.
"Someone help us! The 300 million rial (about $500) tuition for medical science programs has suddenly tripled, and now we are stuck with no way forward or back," one medical student at a protest rally on Saturday said, summing up the frustration felt by many.
Medical students stage protest in Tehran over abrupt tuition hikes, October 20, 2024.
Over the past week, students have staged several protests in front of key government buildings including the Ministry of Health, the Secretariat of the Supreme Council of the Cultural Revolution, and the Presidential Office. Placards carried by demonstrators asked questions like, "Why wasn’t the threefold increase announced? Is Azad University for elites or the wealthy?"
The protests began after tuition fees for medical students surged from 300 million rials (about $470) to 900 million rials (about $1400) per semester without prior notice.
Nazanin Abbasi, the secretary of the student council at Islamic Azad University in Mashhad, voiced her concern, stating, “The tuition has suddenly tripled to 900 million rials per semester, amounting to roughly 20 billion rials (over $31,000) for the entire program. This is in stark contrast to the monthly salary of a medical resident, which is only 15 million rials ($235)."
In response to the outcry, Mohammad Ghorbani, the spokesperson for Islamic Azad University, tried to justify the tuition increase and denied it was tripled. "Tuition increases at Islamic Azad University typically range between 10 to 25 percent, but this time, the increase for medical sciences was nearly double. The reason for the increase is tied to annual inflation and the high costs of educational infrastructure and medical equipment." His comment contradicts the information provided by students.
He added that over 70% of students have already paid their fees, while only 5-6% are protesting. Despite this, the discontent is palpable among the student body, especially considering the deteriorating state of the Iranian economy.
Ali Shirazi, a journalist speaking to Iran International, explained that as families already struggle with inflation and daily necessities, the abrupt tuition hike places an additional burden on them. Over one third of Iranians have been pushed below the poverty line since in the latest recession which has seen the currency massively devalued.
"This increase comes without any additional benefits for the students," Shirazi said. "There’s no new technology, no international professors, and the infrastructure remains outdated due to ongoing sanctions."
The Progressive Students group condemned the tuition hike, criticizing the commercialization of education. "What is happening now is unprecedented. The corrupt officials at Islamic Azad University have rushed to exploit high-demand medical fields, suddenly tripling already high tuition fees," the group stated.
They calculated that medical students will have to pay around 20 billion rials over seven years to become doctors, a figure far out of reach for the majority of families in Iran.
Niyayesh Nowruzadeh, another medical student, pointed out that the tuition last year was 320 million rials, and they had been expecting a 25-30% increase. Instead, they were shocked when the university announced the new 900 million rials fee.
Members of Iranian healthcare professional community
Adding to the students' frustration, the Iranian government recently issued a directive prohibiting the sale of 'service obligations' that would allow graduates to pay off their mandatory service years. The move is seen as a way to hold graduates' diplomas hostage and prevent them from leaving the country, as many young professionals are looking for better opportunities abroad due to Iran’s economic, social, and political instability.
At a protest on Saturday in front of the Ministry of Health, students voiced their discontent with the new directive. "The government is taking actions to take the university degrees of the graduates hostage to prevent their exodus from the country," said Mohsen Moheimani, an expert on Iranian affairs, in an interview with Iran International.
"The health ministry has announced that the service obligation of the students to serve in hospitals must not be sold to them anymore, using this trick to prevent them from leaving as the healthcare system faces a shortage of staff."
Meanwhile, the Tehran Prosecutor’s Office has vowed to take action against institutions facilitating student emigration.
Valiollah Mahboudi, the Deputy Prosecutor of Public Rights in Tehran, announced that “a list of unauthorized student emigration agencies had been compiled and sent to the police, promising strict action against any violations.”
A member of Iranian healthcare professional community
The crackdown on these institutions comes as more Iranians seek to study abroad. Many are disillusioned with the economic situation, and the exodus of skilled professionals is becoming a growing concern. According to the head of the Iranian Medical Council, up to 3,000 doctors left Iran in 2022, driven by low salaries, poor working conditions, and economic instability.
With no relief in sight and the costs of education soaring, many young Iranians feel trapped, unable to advance their careers or leave the country in search of better opportunities.
Reza Salmanzadeh, the father of slain teen protester Mehdi Salmanzadeh, has reportedly been transferred to a hospital after a hunger strike and losing consciousness in Ghezel Hesar prison, in Karaj, west of Tehran.
“The authorities have not said where they have taken him from the prison… It’s not clear which hospital he is in …The family hasn’t been informed where he is and haven’t been able to see him,” a source close to the family told Iran International on condition of anonymity on Saturday.
AnInstagram account associated with Salmanzadeh reported Friday night that he had fallen into a "coma" due to a hunger strike and that "an ambulance was on its way to Ghezel Hesar prison." However, it is not clear if he lost consciousness for a while or he is in complete coma. Some sources called it a state of "semi-coma."
Salmanzadeh began his hunger strike last Tuesday, protesting the lack of medical care for his worsening health conditions, including prostate issues, according to the source. The hunger strike allegedly caused his blood pressure to drop dangerously low, making him unconscious.
“He experienced severe bleeding, and they didn’t take him to the hospital, so he went on a hunger strike,” the source added.
Intelligence agents are said to be pressuring the family, adding to their distress having already lost a young family member during Iran’s 2019 protests and the father being imprisoned in the aftermath of his advocacy for justice, according to the source.
Arrest and charges
After his arrest in May by intelligence agents at his family home, Salmanzadeh was subsequently held in Tehran’s Evin Prison, Ward 209.
A court in Tehran had previously sentenced Reza Salmanzadeh to three years and eight months in August 2022 on charges of “propaganda against the regime” and “membership in an unlawful group to act against national security,” according to US-based Human Rights Activist News Agency (HRANA). This case was closed in February 2023 following a clemency directive.
However, while in prison, authorities brought new charges against Salmanzadeh in a joint case involving Evin prison inmates for which he is now serving a sentence of seven years and 74 lashes related to the case.
In September 2023, Salmanzadeh was transferred to Ghezel Hesar prison alongside 12 other prisoners. Following their transfer the prisoners were kept “in a cramped 12 square meter room in the high-security Unit 3 of Ghezel Hesar prison, in difficult conditions and without access to basic amenities such as hot water and telephones,” Kurdistan Human Rights Network reported.
Systemic denial of medical care in prison
At the end of July this year, HRANA warned that Salmanzadeh was deprived of proper medical care in Ghezel Hesar prison despite his poor physical condition.
He had previously gone on hunger strike as part of the weekly ‘No to Execution’ campaign protesting the Islamic Republic’s execution spree across Iran’s prisons.
At least 34 political prisoners, including Salmanzadeh, have been "systematically denied access to proper medical services" as a form of state retaliation for being outspoken critics of the surge in executions in Iran, according to a report by the US-based Center for Human Rights in Iran (CHRI) in August.
CHRI noted that "vocal critics of Iran’s surging executions and unjust imprisonments have become particular targets for state abuse," reflecting a broader pattern of deliberate neglect and mistreatment.
Salmanzadeh’s son found hanged in family home after attending 2019 protests
Salmanzadeh’s 14-year-old son, Mehdi, was found dead in their family home in December 2019 after attending the protests marking the 40-day memorial for those killed in the November 2019 nationwide demonstrations, as documented by US-based rights group Abdorrahman Boroumand Center (ABC).
The November 2019 protests, often referred to as Bloody November, initially erupted due to a significant increase in fuel prices, quickly transforming into demands for government overthrow and opposition to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. At least 1,500 protestors were killed by security forces, according to figures reported by Reuters at the time.
Mehdi’s mother found his son's “naked body hanging from the wall closet”, according to the rights group United for Iran, citing a video interview with Reza Salmanzadeh in December 2019.
In the interview, he said that doctors and detectives suspected Mehdi was killed before being hanged, but Iran’s intelligence police dismissed the case as suicide, despite CCTV footage showing the suspected killer. The case was quickly closed without further investigation.
ABC’s Omid Memorial, which documents human rights abuses by the Islamic Republic, describes Mehdi's death as an "extrajudicial execution" and says his father's efforts to seek justice resulted in his arrest and conviction.
Reza Salmanzadeh at his son Mehdi Salmanzaeh's burying place
The case underscores a broader crisis within the Islamic Republic’s judicial and prison system and the authorities' systemic abuse of slain protestors' families as reported by Amnesty International in 2023 and the United Nations Human Rights Council’s Fact-Finding Mission on Iran's latest reportthis year.
“Any acts of aggression towards nuclear sites are condemned under international law,” Baghaei said during his weekly news conference.
He added that Tehran had officially communicated its position to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), saying, "we have sent a letter about it to… the UN nuclear watchdog."
Israel has vowed to attack Iran in retaliation for a volley of Iranian missiles launched on October 1, leading to widespread speculation that Iran's nuclear sites could be among Israel's targets.
On October 1, Iran fired more than 180 missiles at Israel, a move described as retaliation for the killings of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran and Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah in Lebanon. It was the second Iranian attack on Israel this year. Israel responded to the first missile volley in April with an air strike on an air defense site in central Iran.
After the attack, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned that Tehran had made a “big mistake tonight” and vowed that “it will pay for it.” Later, the Biden administration revealed that it told Israel not to attack Iran's nuclear sites.
Last week, Netanyahu's office said Israel would listen to key ally the United States regarding a response to Iran's missile attack but would decide its actions according to its own national interest.
His statement was attached to a Washington Post article which said Netanyahu had told President Joe Biden's administration that Israel would strike Iranian military targets, not nuclear or oil sites.
Baghaei, responding to a question about the possibility of Iran changing its official nuclear doctrine, said "weapons of mass destruction have no place in our policy". Tehran would decide on how and when to respond to any Israeli attack.
Israel, which has long accused Tehran of plans to develop nuclear weapons, regards Iran's nuclear activities as a threat. Tehran denies these accusations, insisting that its program is entirely peaceful.
Additionally, Israel’s former premier Naftali Bennett called for the country’s leaders to launch an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities as the Jewish state weighs its response to the barrage of 181 ballistic missiles.
Bennet slammed Biden who had called for a “proportionate” response, saying, "President Biden has said that Israel can retaliate against Iran, but must keep the response 'proportionate'. The president also urged Israel not to attack Iran’s nuclear program."
Moreover, prominent Israeli opposition lawmaker and former defense minister Avigdor Liberman also called on the government to use “all the tools” at its disposal to confront the threat of Iran’s nuclear program, tacitly suggesting that Israel should use a nuclear weapon against the Islamic Republic.
“In order to stop the Iranian nuclear program, which is already at weaponization stages, we must use all the tools at our disposal... It must be clear that, at this stage, it is impossible to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons via conventional means.”
Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan receives foreign ministers Sergei Lavrov of Russia, Jeyhun Bayramov of Azerbaijan, Ararat Mirzoyan of Armenia and Abbas Araqchi of Iran at the end of the third meeting of South Caucasus countries group in Istanbul, Turkey October 18, 2024.
Separately, Baghaei said Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi would travel to Bahrain and Kuwait on Monday as part of Iran's efforts to curb regional tensions.
Since early October, Araghchi visited Turkey, Jordan, Egypt, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Iraq, and Oman, with the primary goal of mitigating an Israeli strike.
Iran also remains defiant on the issue of three Persian Gulf islands disputed by UAE, with Baghaei reaffirming that Tehran “has no doubt about its territorial integrity and sovereignty over the three islands” in the face of claims from Persian Gulf states and the European Union, which accuse Iran of occupying the islands.
Tensions with Europe were also highlighted during Baghaei’s briefing, as he accused European governments of escalating hostilities by failing to engage constructively with Tehran.
European nations have recently imposed sanctions on Iran, citing its nuclear activities and human rights abuses.
When asked about reports of Israeli military preparations, Baghaei downplayed media speculation but stressed Iran’s readiness to defend itself.
“Our focus will be on responding to any kind of malicious act,” he stated, without specifying potential countermeasures.
Iran's rhetoric and diplomatic outreach suggest that the Islamic Republic is bracing for a critical confrontation in its longstanding conflict with Israel.