Iran must adapt development plan to current economic realities, VP says
Iran’s Vice President Mohammad Reza Aref
Iran’s vice president told parliament on Monday that the government must adapt implementation of the Seventh Development Plan to the country’s current conditions, citing financial shortfalls, sanctions pressure and post-crisis constraints that have reshaped policy priorities.
Prices of medicines, medical equipment and healthcare services in Iran have surged by around 70% following the government’s removal of the subsidized exchange rate for drug imports, domestic media reported on Monday.
The Daroyar reform plan, launched to offset price hikes through insurance coverage, has failed to meet its target, leaving patients to shoulder the cost, news outlet Rouydad24 said.
Rising foreign exchange rates, reduced liquidity among importers, and broader inflation have deepened shortages in hospitals and pharmacies.
Analysts say the crisis is worsened by budget shortfalls in social insurance funds and the influence of monopolistic drug networks, which are accused of hoarding and speculative pricing.
Lawmakers have warned that continued price spikes could spark public anger and further strain Iran’s already fragile healthcare system.
Foreign currency squeeze
Last month, a leading pharmaceutical industry figure, Mojtaba Sarkandi, told the reformist daily Etemad that Iran faces inevitable production disruptions and severe drug shortages by March, as renewed UN sanctions under the snapback mechanism tighten access to foreign currency and strain supply chains.
“The industry operates on two realities,” Sarkandi said. “While up to 99% of medicines are locally produced, most key ingredients still come from abroad, mainly China and India.”
According to Etemad, Tehran allocated about $3.4 billion in foreign currency for medicine and medical equipment this year, but a 10–20% shortfall has already emerged. Shipping and insurance costs have climbed by as much as 50% since September, and import timelines have doubled to six months.
While sanctions have limited Tehran’s ability to finance imports, industry executives also blame policy missteps, from delayed currency allocation to state-imposed price caps, for deepening the turmoil.
“Sanctions may explain 40% of the crisis,” one executive told Etemad. “The rest stems from domestic policy failures, arbitrary pricing and poor transparency.”
Iran’s worsening water crisis, described by a top United Nations environmental expert as a state of “water bankruptcy,” risks crippling the country’s infrastructure, undermining its stability, and weakening its influence internationally.
Kaveh Madani, Director of the United Nations University Institute for Water, Environment and Health, told Fox News Digital that the crisis was the culmination of decades of environmental mismanagement and overexploitation of resources.
“The water bankruptcy situation was not created overnight,” he said. “The house was already on fire, and people like myself had warned the government for years that this situation would emerge.”
Iran is now facing one of its most severe shortages in decades, with major reservoirs and dams nearing depletion.
Of the five dams supplying Tehran, one has run dry and another is operating at below 8% capacity, according to recent reports. The energy ministry has already announced evening water cuts to refill reservoirs and urged households to reduce consumption by 20% to avoid mandatory rationing.
“The symptoms were already present, and now the flames are undeniable,” Madani said. “We are discussing Day Zero, when the taps would run dry in Tehran and other cities once immune to shortages.”
He described the situation as the product of “decades of mismanagement, worsened by prolonged drought and climate change,” warning that the ecological collapse was now threatening national security.
“When people are out of water and electricity, you face domestic and national security problems that even Iran’s enemies, not even President Trump or Prime Minister Netanyahu, could have wished for this to happen,” he said.
Ripple effect
Madani warned that the crisis could have a ripple effect on Iran’s energy and nuclear infrastructure, which depends on stable power and water supplies.
“If water and electricity shortages persist, any nuclear program would also be impacted,” he said. “Lack of rain means less hydropower generation, leading to both water and power outages.”
He added that the government’s continued defiance of Western powers and its resistance to reform had compounded the environmental strain.
“If they want to stick to their ideology and fight with the West, they must use their natural resources and burn them,” Madani said. “So if there is no water, there is less resilience and less capacity to resist.”
The crisis, he said, is being aggravated by renewed international sanctions and economic isolation.
“There were already sanctions in place, imposed by the United States, and there were also Security Council sanctions that, as you know, have been reintroduced,” he said.
“Iran is in resistance mode, and remaining in this mode means increased pressure on Iran's ecosystem, natural resources, and water, but it also means heightened concerns about food insecurity issues and dependence on food imports.”
Madani concluded that Iran’s water crisis has become a national emergency with global implications.
“This water bankruptcy weakens Iran on the world stage,” he said. “If there is no water, there is less resilience and less capacity to resist.”
Water reserves in the northeastern Iranian city of Mashhad, the country’s second-largest city and a major religious center with around four million residents, have dropped below 3% of capacity, an Iranian water official said on Sunday.
“The water reserves of Mashhad’s dams have now dropped to below three percent, and although water consumption has somewhat decreased in the cold season, the current situation shows that consumption management is no longer just a recommendation, but an obligation,” managing director of the Mashhad Water and Wastewater Company, said in an interview with the state-affiliated Mehr News Agency.
“Total precipitation in Mashhad county has so far amounted to only 0.4 millimeters, while last year it was around 27 to 28 millimeters,” Hossein Esmaeilian added.
Esmaeilian said the exceptionally low rainfall highlights the worsening state of water resources across northeastern Iran.
Shifting responsibility onto the public
In recent weeks, as the water crisis has worsened, several Iranian officials have blamed the problem on public overconsumption, urging citizens to "pray for rain" and show greater "moral discipline."
Esmaeilian’s remarks came on the same day Iran’s energy minister, Abbas Aliabadi, announced nightly water cuts across the country and urged residents to install home water storage systems.
However, the cost of purchasing and installing home storage systems is beyond the reach of many Iranians, and earlier Iranian media reports said prices for the equipment have risen since the government urged the public to buy them.
Esmaeilian said the top priority now is for residents to save and manage water use to avoid supply disruptions over the next one to two months while hoping for rainfall later in the year.
He added that current water consumption in Mashhad stands at about 8,000 liters per second, of which only between 1,000 and 1,500 liters per second come from the dams.
He said that if residents could reduce their consumption by around 20 percent, it would be possible to manage the situation without water rationing or supply cuts.
Last week, Hassan Hosseini, deputy governor and special governor of Mashhad, said the government is reviewing a water rationing plan and that, if the drought continues, regional rationing will begin before the end of autumn.
Despite repeated warnings from experts over the years, Iran’s water management system has focused on building dams and drilling deep wells instead of investing in and maintaining infrastructure, often blaming the crisis solely on declining rainfall.
Tehran’s unveiling of a towering statue depicting the Roman Emperor Valerian kneeling before pre-Islamic Persian King Shapur I has renewed criticism of the Islamic Republic’s appeal to nationalist sentiment following the June war with Israel.
For over forty years, the theocracy purged ancient Persian history from schoolbooks, replacing it with post-Islamic narratives. But after the 12-day conflict with Israel, officials have turned to the distant pre-Islamic past to rally a divided society.
From murals of ancient kings and soldiers to patriotic songs added to Shi’ite mourning ceremonies performed before Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Tehran now embraces imagery once deemed heretical by its own revolutionary ethos.
The statue unveiled in Tehran's Revolution Square
'Kneel before Iran' campaign
Tehran’s Revolution (Enghelab) Square was the scene of an unusual spectacle on Friday as officials unveiled a massive bronze statue depicting Roman Emperor Valerian kneeling in submission before Sassanid King Shapur I, commemorating Iran’s victory at the Battle of Edessa (260 AD).
The event was held under the slogan “Kneel before Iran,” part of what authorities describe as a campaign to project “national unity and historical pride” following the June war with Israel.
Tehran Mayor Alireza Zakani, a staunch ultraconservative, said on X: “Enmity with Great Iran can only end in kneeling before this historic nation.”
Municipal official Davood Goodarzi said the installation would be accompanied by visual displays depicting “other victories of Iranians over foreign aggressors,” including the defeat of British forces by local commander Rais-Ali Delvari, Mirza Kuchak Khan’s resistance against Russian troops, and Surena’s triumph over Rome at the Battle of Carrhae in 53 BCE.
The goal, Goodarzi said, is “strengthening concepts such as national dignity, social unity, and Iranian identity.”
The statue, he said, would remain temporarily at Revolution Square before being moved to a city gateway “where it will stand as the first emblem of Iran before diplomats and foreign visitors.”
Unveiled women were allowed to attend the unveiling ceremony—an uncommon scene at events organized by Tehran’s ultra-hardline municipality.
The turn to the pre-Islamic past
The sharp reversal also recalls remarks once made by Khamenei. In a 2011 speech, he asserted that “all the great military victories of this nation came after Islam,” dismissing pre-Islamic accounts as “things that are not documented.”
In 1987, he had said that prophets triumphed over kings such as Cyrus and that “nothing remains of these monarchs in history but names remembered with derision.”
Nevertheless, pro-government social media accounts have now gone so far as to circulate posters equating Khamenei himself with Shapur, showing him standing with a staff as Benjamin Netanyahu and Donald Trump kneel before him. The caption reads: “You will kneel before Iran.”
Image circulating by hardliners on social media
'Hypocrisy'
Pro-government figures have hailed the move as a patriotic success. Conservative political reporter Hossein Saremi posted: “Today’s grand Iranian gathering showed that people and the state share one essence: Iran itself. Nothing can take our homeland away.”
Others, however, called the spectacle “hypocrisy.” Journalist Gholamhossein Pashaei wrote on X: “Every year you close Pasargadae to stop people from celebrating Cyrus Day, yet you unveil Shapur’s statue in Enghelab Square with drums and fireworks during Fatimiyya (mourning period)!”
Dissident commentator Hamid Asafi called the ceremony “a perfect snapshot of the Islamic Republic’s contradictions.”
On Telegram he wrote: “A week ago they closed Cyrus’s tomb out of fear of the crowds, and now they glorify Shapur in the same breath. The Islamic Republic fears living history but poses for selfies with its corpse.”
He added: “They know people no longer respond to rosaries and sermons. That’s why they’ve brought history back to the stage—in a controlled costume. If they can’t erase the past, they’ll try to own it.”
The irony deepened as UNESCO formally recognized Cyrus’s Charter as one of the earliest human-rights documents.
President Masoud Pezeshkian wrote on X: “Iran, the cradle of dialogue, justice, and coexistence, can still inspire peace today.”
Users swiftly replied, questioning how such pride could coexist with a government that blocks access to Cyrus’s tomb each year to those wishing to visit it on his birthday.
Air pollution caused about 58,975 deaths in Iran in the Iranian calendar year starting in March 2024, equivalent to 161 deaths per day and around seven every hour, the country’s deputy health minister said on Sunday.
Alireza Raisi said the deaths were linked to exposure to fine particulate matter smaller than 2.5 microns, known as PM2.5 — tiny airborne particles that can penetrate deep into the lungs and enter the bloodstream.
“Twenty-three percent were due to ischemic heart disease, 21 percent to lung cancer, 17 percent to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, 15 percent to stroke, and 13 percent to lower respiratory infections,” he said.
Raisi said the economic damage caused by deaths attributed to air pollution was estimated at about $17.2 billion in 2024.
“These damages are equivalent to $47 million per day," he said.
Raisi said the average daily concentrations of fine particles in the country’s major cities are far higher than the World Health Organization’s permissible limits.
A day earlier, Iran's vice-president for science, technology, and knowledge-based economy Hossein Afshin warned about the consequences of air pollution especially in industrial regions.
Afshin said the central province of Isfahan has the highest number of cancer and multiple sclerosis (MS) patients in the country, adding that the operation of old power plants in the region increases particulate matter and worsens pollution.
“When power plants of this age operate in Isfahan province, the amount of particulate matter in the air also increases,” he said.
Khuzestan province worst hit
Raisi said Ahvaz, a city in southwest Iran, recorded the highest annual average concentration of PM2.5 at 42 micrograms per cubic meter — about eight times the WHO guideline of 5 micrograms per cubic meter — followed by Isfahan, Tehran, and Arak.
In Khuzestan province, air pollution killed 1,624 people over the past year and caused $427 million in health-sector losses, according to Mehrdad Sharifi, deputy for health at Ahvaz Jundishapur University.
He said the air in the cities of Ahvaz, Dasht-e Azadegan, and Hoveyzeh had been healthy for only two days in recent months, adding that 22,000 patients sought hospital treatment in October due to pollution-related illnesses.
Khuzestan’s deputy governor said on Sunday that schools in most cities of the province will remain online until around mid-November, while high schools will continue in person.
Calls to ban old vehicles, invest in cleaner energy, and empower a central environmental authority have so far gone unanswered. Critics warn that without systemic change, major cities including Tehran will continue to suffer both in air quality and human lives.
Mohammad Reza Aref said the administration aimed to preserve social calm while preparing for “special and wartime conditions” to meet public demands, adding that many provisions of the seven-year plan require revision due to budget gaps and inherited debts.
He said the implementation of the plan must align with both its mandates and available resources, adding that the country faces structural imbalances.
He pointed out that an estimated 3 quadrillion rials (about $2.7 billion) in losses in the power and industrial sectors have weighed on economic growth.
Iran’s Seventh Development Plan, launched in 2023, is a five-year blueprint for economic, social, and cultural development aimed at reversing stagnation and reducing reliance on oil revenues. The plan targets an average 8% annual GDP growth, expansion of non-oil exports, and greater private sector investment.
The vice president told lawmakers that Iran lacks the €100 billion required to implement Article 115 of the Seventh Development Plan, which focuses on modernizing the country’s forensic and legal medicine system, and urged parliament to coordinate with the government on possible amendments.
He said the administration has moved to clear $6 billion in feedstock import debts inherited from the previous administration and stressed that strategic reserves remain sufficient to meet essential needs.
Aref added that under Articles 118 and 119 of the plan, the government is legally required to submit regular performance reports to parliament. So far, all ministries and agencies have delivered biannual progress reports to the High Council for Coordination and Oversight, enabling the government to compile its first annual assessment of implementation.
He said the Seventh Plan includes 2,179 policy clauses across 120 articles and outlines 35 national programs designed to advance growth, stability, and social justice.
Aref acknowledged, however, that several provisions, notably Article 115, remain financially unfeasible under current conditions, and called for joint legislative review to adjust targets in line with available funding.
“The Seventh Plan,” Aref said, “is a covenant among all three branches of power,” adding that its success depends on cross-sector coordination and flexibility to adjust policies as economic realities evolve.
President Masoud Pezeshkian is set to address lawmakers on Tuesday about the implementation of the plan.