Signs mount of nuclear deadlock, rising risk of Iran-US conflict, analyst says

A series of recent developments suggests nuclear talks between Iran and the United States have stalled, significantly increasing the risk of military confrontation, according to an analysis by Iran analyst Morad Veisi.

Veisi identifies ten key indicators of escalating tension, including: a sharp uptick in hostile rhetoric between Tehran and Washington, a complete halt in direct and expert-level negotiations, and a lack of new diplomatic initiatives.

The US has resumed sanctions targeting Iran’s financial networks, while Israel has intensified military drills and regional proxy clashes have surged, the analyst said, adding that Iran is also importing large volumes of rocket fuel chemicals, signaling continued missile program expansion.

Other red flags include the appointment of a hardline US military commander to oversee the Middle East, and a likely censure of Iran by the IAEA Board of Governors, backed by European powers.

He believes that Tehran may be underestimating the potential for direct US or Israeli military action.

A potential visit by Russian President Vladimir Putin to Tehran may offer a final diplomatic window to avert escalation, Veisi concluded.